2
Breaking Cover
8yo Gelding · 11-13 · OR 142
Wetherby · Bet Boost At bet365 Crossley Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) · 2m 3f 85y
#3
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 2.6)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.0
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | Kelso | Chad Bament | 2 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-09-05 | Stratford | Chad Bament | 3 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-08-27 | Newton Abbot | Chad Bament | 2 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-19 | Stratford | Sam Twiston-Davies | 2 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-06-28 | Uttoxeter | Sam Twiston-Davies | 2 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2025-11-15 | Cheltenham | J J Burke | 1 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 64/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▬
Strength75%
Delivery trend +1.6% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 5th of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 50% | -0.37 |
| 29/10/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 08/11/2025 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 75% | +0.14 |
| 15/11/2025 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 28/06/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 40% | -0.07 |
| 19/07/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 25% | -0.57 |
| 27/08/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 05/09/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 04/10/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |