6
Kingston Narcissus
7yo Gelding · 11-1 · OR 130
Wetherby · Bet Boost At bet365 Crossley Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) · 2m 3f 85y
#2
Rank
Odds
11/8
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
11%
Rank
#2
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.5
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Market Rasen | Harry Skelton | 1 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Uttoxeter | Harry Skelton | 2 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-17 | Worcester | Harry Skelton | 3 | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-05-02 | Hexham | Charlie Maggs | 3 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-03-21 | Kelso | Ross Chapman | 2 | 11th | 12th | −1 |
| 2026-02-09 | Catterick | Ross Chapman | 4 | 7th | 11th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 64/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▼
Strength79%
Delivery trend -4.9% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/11/2025 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 60% | +0.55 |
| 06/12/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 60% | -0.16 |
| 26/12/2025 | 1st | 17/2 | 55% | 100% | +0.45 |
| 09/02/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 14% | -0.12 |
| 21/03/2026 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 02/05/2026 | 1st | 17/2 | 55% | 100% | +0.45 |
| 17/06/2026 | 2nd | 1/1 | 95% | 50% | -0.45 |
| 28/06/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 80% | -0.09 |
| 18/07/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 92% | +0.07 |