3

Prairie Wolf

9yo Gelding · 11-13 · OR 142

Wetherby · Bet Boost At bet365 Crossley Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) · 2m 3f 85y

#1

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

98%

Place Prob

87%

Rank

#1

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Well-held third on return in this corresponding race last season. Proved at least as good as ever when making it 3 wins from 4 starts in a strong handicap at Newbury (2½m) in March. Hat-trick a distinct possibility on that form, however, some from this yard have been needing their reappearance.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 3.3)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.8
Today: 1
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Haydock 18/01/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 131 · 2m67y Sft 168 · beat its mark18/01/2025 · OR 131 par18/013OR 1312 @ Kelso 14/02/2025 · Pos 4th of 4 · OR 137 · 2m5f133y Sft 163 · below its mark14/02/2025 · OR 137 par3 @ Newcastle 22/02/2025 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 137 · 2m4f19y Goo 168 · below its mark22/02/2025 · OR 137 par22/023OR 1371 @ Wetherby 31/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 134 · 2m3f85y Gd 156 · below its mark31/10/2025 · OR 134 par2 @ Newbury 29/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 132 · 2m6f93y GS 161 · below its mark29/11/2025 · OR 132 par29/112OR 1322 @ Aintree 26/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 132 · 2m3f200y Goo 153 · beat its mark26/12/2025 · OR 132 par1 @ Cheltenham 24/01/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 135 · 2m4f127y Sft 151 · below its mark24/01/2026 · OR 135 par24/011OR 1353 @ Newcastle 21/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 134 · 2m4f19y GS 162 · beat its mark21/02/2026 · OR 134 par2 @ Newbury 21/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 137 · 2m3f187y Goo 160 · beat its mark21/03/2026 · OR 137 par21/032OR 137projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-03-21NewburyJack Tudor21st2nd−1
2026-02-21NewcastleCallum Bewley31st3rd−2
2026-01-24CheltenhamG Sheehan19th9th0
2025-12-26AintreeJack Tudor21st2nd−1
2025-11-29NewburyJack Tudor23rd4th−1
2025-10-31WetherbyPeter Kavanagh13rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/0131/1024/0121/03
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 52/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength92%

Delivery trend +2.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/01/20251st11/142%100%+0.58
14/02/20254th9/488%0%-0.88
22/02/20253rd5/287%50%-0.37
31/10/20253rd50/10%60%+0.60
29/11/20253rd20/10%82%+0.82
26/12/20251st7/282%100%+0.18
24/01/20269th8/158%20%-0.38
21/02/20261st9/276%100%+0.24
21/03/20261st4/179%100%+0.21