4

Primoz

8yo Gelding · 11-3 · OR 132

Wetherby · Bet Boost At bet365 Crossley Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) · 2m 3f 85y

#6

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Quirky course winner who showed plenty of ability remains when useful ½-length second to Breaking Cover on return at Kelso (17f) last time. Now 2 lb better off with that rival, though probably unlikely he finds significant improvement for the run (goes well fresh/yard more forward this season).

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 3.8)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.5
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack1 @ Cheltenham 12/03/2025 · Pos 14th of 20 · OR 130 · 1m7f199y GS 142 · below its mark12/03/2025 · OR 130 par12/031OR 1301 @ Aintree 03/04/2025 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR 130 · 1m7f176y Goo 146 · below its mark03/04/2025 · OR 130 par3 @ Kelso 17/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 129 · 2m1f14y Gd 165 · below its mark17/09/2025 · OR 129 par17/093OR 1293 @ Wetherby 15/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 4 · OR 130 · 1m7f36y Gd 168 · below its mark15/10/2025 · OR 130 par3 @ Wetherby 15/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 129 · 2m3f85y Sft 159 · below its mark15/11/2025 · OR 129 par15/113OR 1293 @ Haydock 20/12/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 126 · 2m67y Sft 168 · below its mark20/12/2025 · OR 126 par3 @ Newcastle 21/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 123 · 2m4f19y GS 151 · below its mark21/02/2026 · OR 123 par21/023OR 1233 @ Ayr 07/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 122 · 2m4f110y Sft 156 · beat its mark07/03/2026 · OR 122 par2 @ Kelso 04/10/2026 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR 131 · 2m1f14y Goo 155 · below its mark04/10/2026 · OR 131 par4/102OR 131projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-04KelsoD R Fox22nd3rd−1
2026-04-10AintreeD R Fox10
2026-03-07AyrD R Fox31st3rd−2
2026-02-21NewcastleD R Fox33rd5th−2
2025-12-20HaydockD R Fox36th8th−2
2025-11-15WetherbyD R Fox35th7th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/0315/1021/024/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 64/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength84%

Delivery trend +5.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/03/202514th6/168%32%-0.37
03/04/20257th17/255%54%-0.01
17/09/20252nd6/492%80%-0.12
15/10/20253rd4/696%33%-0.63
15/11/20255th11/271%20%-0.51
20/12/20256th16/116%29%+0.13
21/02/20263rd10/147%67%+0.19
07/03/20261st6/492%100%+0.08
04/10/20262nd13/266%67%+0.01