3

Bright Legend

6yo Gelding · 12-0 · OR 105

Wetherby · Racing Value At bet365 Handicap Hurdle · 2m 5f 56y

#5

Rank

Odds

11/4

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#5

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Off the mark in a Sedgefield maiden in April. More miss than hit since but fared better than of late in a reapplied tongue strap when third of 12 in 3m handicap at Chepstow (soft) 19 days ago. Must enter calculations with Cobden taking over from 7-lb claimer.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength32%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 5.2)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C5.4
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Wincanton 29/01/2026 · Pos 5th of 17 · OR 115 · 1m7f50y Hvy 160 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark29/01/2026 · OR 115 par29/014OR 1154 @ Wincanton 25/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR 112 · 2m3f179y Goo 166 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark25/02/2026 · OR 112 par4 @ Sedgefield 01/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 113 · 2m3f188y Goo 159 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark01/04/2026 · OR 113 par1/044OR 113BHA114 @ Punchestown 28/04/2026 · Pos 17th of 24 · OR 114 · 2m3f81y Yie 152 · below its mark28/04/2026 · OR 114 par4 @ Uttoxeter 26/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 111 · 1m7f168y Gd 161 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark26/07/2026 · OR 111 par26/074OR 1114 @ Worcester 19/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 110 · 2m4f Gd 161 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark19/08/2026 · OR 110 par4 @ Goodwood 29/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 80 · 1m6f Sft 135 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark29/08/2026 · OR 80 par29/084OR 804 @ Fontwell 22/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 108 · 2m5f164y Gd 166 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark22/09/2026 · OR 108 par5 @ Chepstow 11/10/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 105 · 2m7f131y Goo 168 · below its mark11/10/2026 · OR 105 par11/105OR 105projClass-projected finish: 4th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-11ChepstowJack O'Neill53rd3rd0
2026-09-22FontwellJack O'Neill44th3rd+1
2026-08-29GoodwoodC Lee48th7th+1
2026-08-19WorcesterJack O'Neill47th6th+1
2026-07-26UttoxeterJack O'Neill45th4th+1
2026-04-28PunchestownR P McLernonBHA11417th25th−6

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/0128/0429/0811/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1180% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 61/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength87%

Delivery trend -2.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/01/20265th5/174%75%+0.01
25/02/20263rd18/15%86%+0.80
01/04/20261st8/1196%100%+0.04
28/04/202617th18/15%30%+0.25
26/07/20265th7/282%20%-0.62
19/08/20267th28/10%33%+0.33
29/08/20268th33/10%13%+0.13
22/09/20264th8/158%50%-0.08
11/10/20263rd8/158%82%+0.24