Dramatic License
6yo Gelding · 11-9 · OR 100
Wetherby · Racing Value At bet365 Handicap Hurdle · 2m 5f 56y
#4
Rank
Odds
80/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 4 higher-class runs.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 4.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-08 | Market Rasen | Callum Bewley | 3 | +2 | ||
| 2026-03-31 | Newcastle | Sean Quinlan | 4 | +1 | ||
| 2026-03-17 | Wetherby | Callum Bewley | 4 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2025-10-18 | Limerick | J J Slevin | 1 | 5th | 0th | +4 |
| 2025-08-10 | Downpatrick | J J Slevin | ? | 1st | 5th | −3 |
| 2025-07-22 | Ballinrobe | J J Slevin | ? | 7th | 11th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/06/2024 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 82% | +0.24 |
| 11/08/2024 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 90% | +0.06 |
| 13/02/2025 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 63% | -0.23 |
| 09/05/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 15/06/2025 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 79% | +0.05 |
| 22/07/2025 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 10/08/2025 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 18/10/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 17/03/2026 | 10th | 150/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |