10

Giveupyerauldsins

8yo Mare · 11-0 · OR 91

Wetherby · Racing Value At bet365 Handicap Hurdle · 2m 5f 56y

#6

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Novice hurdle winner at Newcastle in December 2024 but that was a weak race and she went backwards from her chasing debut when well beaten at Uttoxeter (3m) in May 2025, looking less than straightforward. Off since.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▼1
Strength46%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Hexham 12/10/2024 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 2m4f28y Sft 158 · HIGHER CLASS12/1044 @ Carlisle 19/11/2024 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 2m3f218y Sft 151 · HIGHER CLASS19/1144 @ Newcastle 14/12/2024 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR - · 2m6f Goo 147 · HIGHER CLASS14/1244 @ Musselburgh 01/01/2025 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 104 · 2m7f180y Sft 165 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark01/01/2025 · OR 104 par1/014OR 1045 @ Newcastle 31/03/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 95 · 2m7f91y Goo 167 · below its mark31/03/2025 · OR 95 par31/035OR 955 @ Uttoxeter 03/05/2025 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 96 · 3m10y Gd 168 · below its mark03/05/2025 · OR 96 par3/055OR 96projClass-projected finish: 10th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2025-05-03UttoxeterHenry Brooke59th9th0
2025-03-31NewcastleR P McLernon52nd2nd0
2025-03-21MusselburghB S Hughes2+3
2025-01-01MusselburghJamie Hamilton47th6th+1
2024-12-14NewcastleJamie Hamilton41st0th+1
2024-11-19CarlisleJamie Hamilton46th5th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/1019/1114/121/0131/033/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 110% of fieldRange 5-11 · tight 58/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -13.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/10/20245th66/10%56%+0.56
19/11/20246th28/10%44%+0.44
14/12/20241st18/15%100%+0.95
01/01/20257th28/10%14%+0.14
31/03/20252nd18/15%83%+0.78
03/05/20259th9/153%11%-0.42