IvyArcIvyArc
13

Glory Hights

10yo Gelding · 10-7 · OR 84

Wetherby · Racing Value At bet365 Handicap Hurdle · 2m 5f 56y

#7

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Remains with just one win to his name and turned in a rare poor effort at Newcastle when last seen in March, though does have each-way claims on the pick of his form if bouncing back on this return to action.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.2)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Newcastle 14/12/2024 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR 89 · 2m4f62y Goo 159 · beat its mark14/12/2024 · OR 89 par14/125OR 895 @ Wetherby 23/01/2025 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 92 · 3m26y Sft 160 · below its mark23/01/2025 · OR 92 par5 @ Doncaster 19/02/2025 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR 91 · 3m84y Goo 164 · below its mark19/02/2025 · OR 91 par19/025OR 915 @ Ayr 08/03/2025 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR 90 · 3m70y Sft 158 · beat its mark08/03/2025 · OR 90 par5 @ Wetherby 27/12/2025 · Pos 9th of 16 · OR 89 · 3m26y Sft 160 · below its mark27/12/2025 · OR 89 par27/125OR 895 @ Wetherby 22/01/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 86 · 3m26y Sft 155 · below its mark22/01/2026 · OR 86 par5 @ Newcastle 21/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR 85 · 2m4f62y GS 153 · beat its mark21/02/2026 · OR 85 par21/025OR 855 @ Newcastle 14/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR 86 · 2m4f62y Goo 154 · beat its mark14/03/2026 · OR 86 par5 @ Newcastle 31/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 85 · 2m4f62y Goo 156 · below its mark31/03/2026 · OR 85 par31/035OR 85projClass-projected finish: 5th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-03-31NewcastleDanny McMenamin56th6th0
2026-03-14NewcastleRoss Chapman54th4th0
2026-02-21NewcastleDanny McMenamin52nd2nd0
2026-01-22WetherbyDanny McMenamin55th5th0
2025-12-27WetherbyWilliam Maggs59th9th0
2025-11-30CarlisleDanny McMenamin50

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/128/0321/0231/03
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1140% of fieldRange 4-10 · tight 61/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength41%

Delivery trend -2.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/12/20242nd4/179%93%+0.14
23/01/20254th10/147%70%+0.23
19/02/20255th15/261%69%+0.09
08/03/20252nd8/158%93%+0.35
27/12/20259th11/142%47%+0.05
22/01/20265th17/255%50%-0.05
21/02/20262nd10/147%93%+0.45
14/03/20264th17/255%79%+0.23
31/03/20266th5/174%38%-0.36