14

Magic Gloves

5yo Mare · 10-5 · OR 82

Wetherby · Racing Value At bet365 Handicap Hurdle · 2m 5f 56y

#10

Rank

Odds

15/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Ran better than for a while stepped up in trip when second over 3m at Perth in August but merely underlined inconsistency when below-par fifth of 12 in a similar event there the following month.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 5.8)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Kelso 17/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR - · 2m4f189y Gd 144 · HIGHER CLASS17/0944 @ Hexham 11/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR - · 2m4f28y Gd 156 · HIGHER CLASS5 @ Musselburgh 08/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 92 · 1m7f124y Sft 165 · below its mark08/12/2025 · OR 92 par8/125OR 925 @ Musselburgh 15/02/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 92 · 1m7f124y Goo 160 · below its mark15/02/2026 · OR 92 par5 @ Perth 23/04/2026 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR 90 · 2m47y Goo 158 · below its mark23/04/2026 · OR 90 par23/045OR 905 @ Perth 07/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 86 · 2m47y Gd 158 · below its mark07/06/2026 · OR 86 par5 @ Perth 15/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 82 · 2m7f207y Gd 145 · beat its mark15/08/2026 · OR 82 par15/085OR 825 @ Perth 23/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR 84 · 2m7f207y Goo 156 · beat its mark23/09/2026 · OR 84 par23/095OR 84projClass-projected finish: 8th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-23PerthD R Fox55th5th0
2026-08-15PerthD R Fox52nd2nd0
2026-06-07PerthAlan Doyle510th10th0
2026-04-23PerthAlan Doyle510th10th0
2026-02-15MusselburghAlan Doyle58th8th0
2025-12-08MusselburghAlan Doyle54th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/0915/0215/0823/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1160% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 76/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength97%

Delivery trend +4.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/09/20253rd6/168%50%-0.18
11/10/20254th11/271%40%-0.31
08/12/20254th14/126%67%+0.40
15/02/20268th18/15%13%+0.07
23/04/202610th25/10%31%+0.31
07/06/202610th22/10%18%+0.18
15/08/20262nd8/158%90%+0.32
23/09/20265th6/168%64%-0.05