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2

Noonetellsmenothin

5yo Gelding · 12-0 · OR 105

Wetherby · Racing Value At bet365 Handicap Hurdle · 2m 5f 56y

#1

Rank

Odds

10/3

Win Prob

100%

Place Prob

96%

Rank

#1

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Placed in a couple of bumpers and benefited from step up in trip when landing a Catterick novice (19f) on hurdles debut in December. Matched rather than built on that in handicaps since, running respectably after 6 months off when third of 7 in 2½m event here 16 days ago. Respected.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▼1
Strength54%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.4 /10 (raw 2.7)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.2
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Worcester 15/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 2m GS 15415/0954 @ Ludlow 08/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 4 · OR - · 1m7f169y GF 155 · HIGHER CLASS8/1044 @ Catterick 16/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 2m3f66y Goo 154 · HIGHER CLASS16/1244 @ Catterick 21/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 2m3f66y GS 163 · HIGHER CLASS21/0142 @ Musselburgh 20/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 108 · 2m3f171y GS 154 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/03/2026 · OR 108 par20/032OR 1084 @ Ludlow 22/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 106 · 2m7f174y Gd 158 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark22/04/2026 · OR 106 par22/044OR 1065 @ Wetherby 14/10/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 105 · 2m3f154y Goo 166 · below its mark14/10/2026 · OR 105 par14/105OR 105projClass-projected finish: 1st of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-14WetherbyBenjamin Macey53rd3rd0
2026-04-22LudlowJonjo O'Neill Jr.43rd2nd+1
2026-03-20MusselburghJonjo O'Neill Jr.24th0th+3
2026-02-13KelsoBenjamin Macey4+1
2026-01-21CatterickJonjo O'Neill Jr.43rd2nd+1
2025-12-16CatterickJonjo O'Neill Jr.41st0th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/0921/0114/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1190% of fieldRange 1-9 · tight 46/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength79%

Delivery trend -3.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/09/20252nd11/142%89%+0.47
08/10/20253rd2/189%33%-0.56
16/12/20251st10/147%100%+0.53
21/01/20263rd5/174%83%+0.10
20/03/20264th16/116%67%+0.51
22/04/20263rd5/174%60%-0.14
14/10/20263rd7/282%67%-0.15