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8

Stylish Recruit

8yo Gelding · 11-8 · OR 99

Wetherby · Racing Value At bet365 Handicap Hurdle · 2m 5f 56y

#2

Rank

Odds

18/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Forward-going type who saw off 3 next-time-out winners when registering win number 3 at Hexham (23f) in late-June. Shaped as if needing the run there 3 months on but his yard still appears to be finding its feet for the season.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength14%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Hexham 20/05/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 100 · 1m7f133y Gd 158 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark20/05/2025 · OR 100 par20/054OR 1004 @ Ayr 01/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR 98 · 2m4f110y Sft 156 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark01/11/2025 · OR 98 par5 @ Carlisle 22/03/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR 95 · 2m1f Goo 163 · below its mark22/03/2026 · OR 95 par22/035OR 955 @ Hexham 13/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 89 · 2m4f28y Goo 153 · beat its mark13/04/2026 · OR 89 par5 @ Hexham 02/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR 92 · 2m7f63y Gd 155 · below its mark02/05/2026 · OR 92 par2/055OR 925 @ Kelso 24/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR 92 · 2m4f189y Gd 156 · below its mark24/05/2026 · OR 92 par4 @ Hexham 06/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 91 · 2m7f63y Gd 146 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark06/06/2026 · OR 91 par6/064OR 915 @ Hexham 21/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 94 · 2m7f63y Gd 162 · beat its mark21/06/2026 · OR 94 par5 @ Hexham 02/10/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 99 · 2m7f63y Goo 167 · below its mark02/10/2026 · OR 99 par2/105OR 99projClass-projected finish: 9th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-02HexhamP W Wadge55th5th0
2026-06-21HexhamP W Wadge51st1st0
2026-06-06HexhamP W Wadge42nd1st+1
2026-05-24KelsoP W Wadge55th5th0
2026-05-02HexhamP W Wadge56th6th0
2026-04-13HexhamP W Wadge51st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/0513/046/062/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1170% of fieldRange 7-11 · tight 72/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -4.5% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/05/20253rd3/184%60%-0.24
01/11/20255th9/153%64%+0.11
22/03/202610th20/10%10%+0.10
13/04/20261st17/255%100%+0.45
02/05/20266th11/271%64%-0.07
24/05/20265th15/261%64%+0.03
06/06/20262nd4/179%80%+0.01
21/06/20261st9/276%100%+0.24
02/10/20265th5/287%0%-0.87