3
Autobahn Ace
4yo Gelding · 8-9 · Draw 3 · OR 78
Woodbine · Race 1 - Claiming · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
9/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-19 | Fort Erie | Da Sean Gaskin | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-09-19 | Woodbine | Da Sean Gaskin | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-31 | Fort Erie | Luis Reyes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Woodbine | Luis Reyes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Woodbine | Luis Reyes | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2025-08-30 | Woodbine | Leo Salles | BHA77 | 8th | 8th | −0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 3-6 · tight 63/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength29%
Delivery trend -9.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/06/2025 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 20/07/2025 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 30/08/2025 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 12/07/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 07/08/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 25% | -0.54 |
| 31/08/2026 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 33% | -0.54 |
| 19/09/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 60% | -0.11 |
| 19/10/2026 | 4th | 11/10 | 94% | 40% | -0.54 |