2
Bank On Big Winner
3yo Gelding · 8-7 · Draw 2 · OR 52
Woodbine · Race 1 - Claiming · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▼2
Strength75%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 5.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.1
Today:
Class gap: +2.4
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | Woodbine | Romero Maragh | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-09-21 | Fort Erie | Kirk Johnson | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-09-07 | Fort Erie | Kirk Johnson | ? | 9th | 5th | +3 |
| 2025-10-19 | Woodbine | Leo Salles | ? | 9th | 5th | +3 |
| 2025-09-14 | Woodbine | Sahin Civaci | ? | 3rd | -1th | +3 |
| 2025-08-24 | Woodbine | Pietro Moran | ? | 9th | 5th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 63/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▲
Strength72%
Delivery trend +2.0% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 83% | +0.02 |
| 27/07/2025 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 24/08/2025 | 9th | 13/2 | 66% | 11% | -0.55 |
| 14/09/2025 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 60% | -0.08 |
| 19/10/2025 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 07/09/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 21/09/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 11/10/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |