1
Field Hockey
6yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 1 · OR 73
Woodbine · Race 1 - Claiming · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
15/8
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
12%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | Woodbine | Keveh Nicholls | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-09-11 | Woodbine | Keveh Nicholls | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Woodbine | Prayven Badrie | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-12-12 | Woodbine | Keveh Nicholls | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-29 | Woodbine | Keveh Nicholls | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-08-01 | Woodbine | Jason Hoyte | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 52/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength67%
Delivery trend -3.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/06/2025 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |
| 22/06/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 18/07/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 01/08/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 44% | +0.08 |
| 29/11/2025 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 83% | +0.20 |
| 12/12/2025 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 80% | +0.27 |
| 30/05/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 17% | -0.57 |
| 11/09/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 75% | -0.01 |
| 02/10/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 25% | -0.28 |