6
Scottie's Barn
3yo Gelding · 8-9 · Draw 6 · OR 57
Woodbine · Race 1 - Claiming · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
7%
Place Prob
16%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: -0.6
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 | Woodbine | Desean Bynoe | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-08-21 | Woodbine | Desean Bynoe | ? | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-07-10 | Woodbine | Slade Jones | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-06-20 | Woodbine | Xarel Forde | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-06-07 | Woodbine | Xarel Forde | ? | 9th | 8th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 35/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength35%
Delivery trend +6.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/06/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 20/06/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 25% | -0.36 |
| 10/07/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 17% | -0.57 |
| 21/08/2026 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 20% | -0.27 |
| 26/09/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |