7

Aussie Hyper

4yo Filly · 8-9 · Draw 7 · OR 81

Woodbine · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m 110y

#2

Rank

Odds

10/3

Win Prob

12%

Place Prob

17%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength52%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 3.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Fort Erie 21/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 69 · 1m110y Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark21/10/2025 · OR 69 par21/10C5OR 69C5 @ Woodbine 21/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 77 · 1m110y Fas 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark21/11/2025 · OR 77 parC8 @ Woodbine 08/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 71 · 7f 123 · below its mark08/05/2026 · OR 71 par8/05C8OR 71C8 @ Woodbine 11/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 69 · 1m110y Fas 123 · beat its mark11/06/2026 · OR 69 parC8 @ Woodbine 25/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 66 · 1m110y 124 · beat its mark25/06/2026 · OR 66 par25/06C8OR 66C8 @ Woodbine 23/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 71 · 1m110y Fm 123 · below its mark23/07/2026 · OR 71 parC6 @ Woodbine 16/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 75 · 1m Fm 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark16/08/2026 · OR 75 par16/08C6OR 75C7 @ Woodbine 29/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 79 · 1m110y Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark29/08/2026 · OR 79 parC8 @ Woodbine 25/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 84 · 1m110y Fm 123 · below its mark25/09/2026 · OR 84 par25/09C8OR 84projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-25WoodbineChristoff Douglas?4th4th0
2026-08-29WoodbineDesean Bynoe?4th3rd+1
2026-08-16WoodbineDesean Bynoe?6th4th+2
2026-07-23WoodbineDesean Bynoe?2nd2nd0
2026-06-25WoodbineDesean Bynoe?1st1st0
2026-06-11WoodbineDesean Bynoe?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/1011/0616/0825/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 59/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength66%

Delivery trend -7.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/10/20253rd25/10%78%+0.78
21/11/20255th33/10%33%+0.33
08/05/20264th10/147%57%+0.10
11/06/20261st15/890%100%+0.10
25/06/20261st6/168%100%+0.32
23/07/20262nd16/116%88%+0.72
16/08/20266th33/10%0%0.00
29/08/20264th9/153%50%-0.03
25/09/20264th4/179%57%-0.22