Foxy Diva
8yo Mare · 8-9 · Draw 4 · OR 85
Woodbine · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
15/2
Win Prob
11%
Place Prob
16%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Woodbine | Fraser Aebly | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-20 | Woodbine | Fraser Aebly | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Woodbine | Fraser Aebly | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Woodbine | Pietro Moran | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-11-07 | Woodbine | Pietro Moran | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2025-10-23 | Woodbine | Pietro Moran | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07/2025 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 33% | -0.49 |
| 22/08/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 75% | +0.28 |
| 04/09/2025 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 23/10/2025 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 07/11/2025 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 22/05/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 33% | -0.25 |
| 23/07/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 63% | +0.10 |
| 20/08/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 67% | -0.02 |
| 04/09/2026 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |