
Holiday With Amy
6yo Mare · 8-11 · Draw 2 · OR 82
Woodbine · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 4.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Woodbine | Christoff Douglas | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Woodbine | Pietro Moran | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Woodbine | Pietro Moran | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Woodbine | Pietro Moran | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2025-11-15 | Woodbine | Xarel Forde | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-10-26 | Woodbine | Xarel Forde | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08/2025 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 13/09/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 04/10/2025 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |
| 26/10/2025 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 80% | +0.09 |
| 15/11/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 60% | +0.34 |
| 15/05/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 67% | +0.04 |
| 13/06/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |
| 10/07/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 80% | +0.19 |
| 20/08/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 83% | +0.36 |