2

Holiday With Amy

6yo Mare · 8-11 · Draw 2 · OR 82

Woodbine · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m 110y

#6

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength53%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 4.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Woodbine 21/08/2025 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 84 · 7f110y Fm 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark21/08/2025 · OR 84 par21/08C7OR 84C7 @ Woodbine 13/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 82 · 7f 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark13/09/2025 · OR 82 parC7 @ Woodbine 04/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR 84 · 6f110y 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark04/10/2025 · OR 84 par4/10C7OR 84C7 @ Woodbine 26/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 90 · 6f110y 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark26/10/2025 · OR 90 parC7 @ Woodbine 15/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 91 · 7f 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark15/11/2025 · OR 91 par15/11C7OR 91C7 @ Woodbine 15/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 86 · 6f 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark15/05/2026 · OR 86 parC8 @ Woodbine 13/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 83 · 6f Fas 122 · below its mark13/06/2026 · OR 83 par13/06C8OR 83C8 @ Woodbine 10/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 80 · 6f Fas 123 · below its mark10/07/2026 · OR 80 parC8 @ Woodbine 20/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 81 · 1m110y 121 · below its mark20/08/2026 · OR 81 par20/08C8OR 81projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-20WoodbineChristoff Douglas?2nd2nd0
2026-07-10WoodbinePietro Moran?2nd2nd0
2026-06-13WoodbinePietro Moran?3rd3rd0
2026-05-15WoodbinePietro Moran?3rd2nd+1
2025-11-15WoodbineXarel Forde?5th4th+1
2025-10-26WoodbineXarel Forde?2nd1st+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/0826/1013/0620/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 68/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength91%

Delivery trend +0.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 7.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/08/20258th14/126%0%-0.26
13/09/20254th16/116%50%+0.34
04/10/20256th33/10%58%+0.58
26/10/20252nd11/271%80%+0.09
15/11/20255th14/126%60%+0.34
15/05/20263rd7/163%67%+0.04
13/06/20263rd7/282%60%-0.22
10/07/20262nd15/261%80%+0.19
20/08/20262nd10/147%83%+0.36