6
I'm Tenacious
5yo Mare · 8-11 · Draw 6 · OR 80
Woodbine · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength15%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | Woodbine | Romero Maragh | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-09-10 | Woodbine | Romero Maragh | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Woodbine | Leo Salles | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Woodbine | Sahin Civaci | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Woodbine | Pietro Moran | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-10-25 | Woodbine | Austin Adams | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-2 · tight 84/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +7.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09/2025 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 40% | -0.21 |
| 25/09/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 16/10/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 25/10/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 16/05/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 14% | -0.33 |
| 09/07/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 17% | -0.31 |
| 06/08/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 71% | +0.56 |
| 10/09/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 25/09/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 86% | +0.49 |