Madam Gwen
5yo Mare · 8-11 · Draw 1 · OR 79
Woodbine · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
5%
Place Prob
11%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 5.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-10 | Woodbine | Rico Walcott | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-09-25 | Woodbine | Rafael Hernandez | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-09-04 | Woodbine | Xarel Forde | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-20 | Woodbine | Xarel Forde | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Woodbine | Xarel Forde | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-12-13 | Woodbine | Xarel Forde | ? | 6th | 2nd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10/2025 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 01/11/2025 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 30/11/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 13/12/2025 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 23/07/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 20/08/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 04/09/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 25/09/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 43% | -0.15 |
| 10/10/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |