O Wow
6yo Mare · 8-11 · Draw 3 · OR 86
Woodbine · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
9%
Place Prob
15%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 4.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | Woodbine | Christoff Douglas | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-09-04 | Woodbine | Daisuke Fukumoto | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Woodbine | Romero Maragh | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Woodbine | Emma Jayne Wilson | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Woodbine | Fraser Aebly | ? | 9th | 7th | +2 |
| 2026-05-17 | Woodbine | Fraser Aebly | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -4.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 05/10/2025 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 88% | +0.14 |
| 29/11/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 17/05/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 06/06/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 20% | -0.17 |
| 26/06/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 17% | -0.49 |
| 23/07/2026 | 8th | 7/1 | 63% | 13% | -0.51 |
| 04/09/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 04/10/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 38% | +0.22 |