3
Once Upon A Kiss
3yo Filly · 8-9 · Draw 3 · OR 78
Woodbine · Race 3 - Maiden Optional Claiming · 1m 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Woodbine | Rafael Hernandez | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-29 | Woodbine | Romero Maragh | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Woodbine | Romero Maragh | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | Woodbine | Sahin Civaci | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 6-6 · tight 82/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -30.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 08/08/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 83% | +0.15 |
| 29/08/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 43% | -0.41 |
| 19/09/2026 | 8th | 7/2 | 82% | 22% | -0.59 |