
Really Big Show
4yo Filly · 8-12 · Draw 5 · OR 74
Woodbine · Race 3 - Maiden Optional Claiming · 1m 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | Woodbine | Jalon Samuel | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-09-19 | Woodbine | Jalon Samuel | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-27 | Woodbine | Jalon Samuel | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Woodbine | Jalon Samuel | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Woodbine | Jalon Samuel | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Woodbine | Jalon Samuel | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/11/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 14/12/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 23/05/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 11/06/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 29% | +0.13 |
| 04/07/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 23/07/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 57% | +0.10 |
| 27/08/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 71% | +0.24 |
| 19/09/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 67% | -0.07 |
| 04/10/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |