Winning Agenda
3yo Filly · 8-9 · Draw 6 · OR 84
Woodbine · Race 3 - Maiden Optional Claiming · 1m 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
7/4
Win Prob
99%
Place Prob
89%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 4.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-03 | Woodbine | Fraser Aebly | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-09-05 | Woodbine | Pietro Moran | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Woodbine | Sahin Civaci | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Woodbine | Daisuke Fukumoto | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-06-13 | Woodbine | Daisuke Fukumoto | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2025-11-29 | Woodbine | Jalon Samuel | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -5.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09/2025 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 04/10/2025 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 40% | -0.23 |
| 25/10/2025 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 29/11/2025 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 13/06/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 04/07/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 40% | +0.03 |
| 14/08/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 86% | -0.04 |
| 05/09/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 75% | -0.14 |
| 03/10/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 57% | -0.28 |