Almasty Five
3yo Colt · 8-9 · Draw 4 · OR 63
Woodbine · Race 4 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 7.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | Woodbine | Prayven Badrie | ? | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2026-09-07 | Woodbine | Jason Hoyte | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-28 | Woodbine | Jose Campos | ? | 9th | 7th | +2 |
| 2026-07-24 | Woodbine | Jose Campos | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-07-06 | Woodbine | Jose Campos | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -5.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 29% | +0.13 |
| 24/07/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 28/08/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 07/09/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 09/10/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |