Found Money
3yo Gelding · 8-7 · Draw 6 · OR 72
Woodbine · Race 4 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
12%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 5.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | Woodbine | Jose Campos | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-09-20 | Woodbine | Jose Campos | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-09-07 | Woodbine | Prayven Badrie | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Woodbine | Romero Maragh | ? | 9th | 7th | +2 |
| 2025-11-30 | Woodbine | Eswan Flores | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2025-11-15 | Woodbine | Keveh Nicholls | ? | 8th | 6th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -4.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 24/08/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 11/10/2025 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 71% | -0.11 |
| 15/11/2025 | 8th | 9/4 | 88% | 13% | -0.76 |
| 30/11/2025 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |
| 07/08/2026 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 07/09/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 38% | -0.28 |
| 20/09/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |
| 09/10/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 63% | +0.02 |