8

Kairos Moment

4yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 8 · OR 64

Woodbine · Race 4 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 110y

#4

Rank

Odds

11/4

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

9%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength10%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 5.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Woodbine 26/06/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 6f110y Fas 12026/06C9C7 @ Woodbine 11/07/2025 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 73 · 1m110y Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark11/07/2025 · OR 73 par11/07C7OR 73C9 @ Woodbine 25/07/2025 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR 71 · 6f110y 120 · below its mark25/07/2025 · OR 71 par25/07C9OR 71C9 @ Woodbine 22/08/2025 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 71 · 1m110y Fas 120 · below its mark22/08/2025 · OR 71 par22/08C9OR 71C9 @ Woodbine 07/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 52 · 7f 124 · beat its mark07/08/2026 · OR 52 par7/08C9OR 52C9 @ Woodbine 28/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 57 · 7f Fas 122 · beat its mark28/08/2026 · OR 57 par28/08C9OR 57C9 @ Woodbine 11/10/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 54 · 1m110y Fas 124 · beat its mark11/10/2026 · OR 54 par11/10C9OR 54projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-11WoodbineDavid Moran?2nd2nd0
2026-08-28WoodbineDavid Moran?3rd3rd0
2026-08-07WoodbineDaisuke Fukumoto?2nd2nd0
2025-08-22WoodbineSkye Chernetz?10th10th0
2025-07-25WoodbineKeveh Nicholls?11th11th0
2025-07-11WoodbineRico Walcott?8th6th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/0622/0811/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 31/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▬
Strength89%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 8.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/06/20252nd20/10%88%+0.88
11/07/20258th12/137%13%-0.24
25/07/202511th5/174%0%-0.74
22/08/202510th15/261%0%-0.61
07/08/20262nd12/137%88%+0.51
28/08/20263rd11/271%78%+0.07
11/10/20262nd8/158%83%+0.25