Metro King
3yo Gelding · 8-7 · Draw 3 · OR 59
Woodbine · Race 4 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 7.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-24 | Woodbine | Romero Maragh | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-09-07 | Woodbine | Christoff Douglas | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-21 | Woodbine | Xarel Forde | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Woodbine | Christoff Douglas | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-05-23 | Woodbine | Kemaire Blackett | ? | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2026-05-03 | Woodbine | Ruben Silvera | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +7.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/11/2025 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 03/05/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 14% | -0.12 |
| 23/05/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 06/07/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 14% | -0.33 |
| 21/08/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 40% | +0.14 |
| 07/09/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 24/09/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |