Celestial Heart
3yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 7 · OR 67
Woodbine · Race 5 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
31%
Place Prob
34%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | Woodbine | Jeffrey Alderson | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-09-24 | Woodbine | Jodeien Anderson | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-09-11 | Woodbine | Jodeien Anderson | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-08-23 | Woodbine | Jodeien Anderson | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-08-07 | Woodbine | Jeffrey Alderson | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-07-24 | Woodbine | Leo Salles | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -1.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/2026 | 2nd | 40/1 | 0% | 88% | +0.88 |
| 06/06/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 55% | +0.07 |
| 06/07/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 57% | -0.19 |
| 24/07/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 63% | +0.10 |
| 07/08/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 38% | +0.11 |
| 23/08/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 11/09/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 60% | -0.08 |
| 24/09/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 11/10/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |