Runner Eyes
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 8 · OR 87
Woodbine · Race 5 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
4/7
Win Prob
63%
Place Prob
48%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 4.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Colonial Downs | Sofia Vives | ? | 4th | 0th | +3 |
| 2026-07-26 | Woodbine | Keveh Nicholls | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-07-06 | Woodbine | Keveh Nicholls | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-06-12 | Woodbine | Pietro Moran | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-05-10 | Woodbine | Rafael Hernandez | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-01-16 | Gulfstream | David Egan | ? | 11th | 9th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.2% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 71% | +0.24 |
| 09/08/2025 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 10/09/2025 | 8th | 13/2 | 66% | 0% | -0.66 |
| 16/01/2026 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 10/05/2026 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 83% | -0.09 |
| 12/06/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 60% | +0.02 |
| 06/07/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 89% | +0.23 |
| 26/07/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 91% | +0.08 |
| 15/08/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 40% | +0.24 |