1
Tanist
4yo Gelding · 8-9 · Draw 1 · OR 74
Woodbine · Race 5 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#8
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength21%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-19 | Fort Erie | Jeffrey Alderson | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-10-09 | Woodbine | Da Sean Gaskin | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-09-14 | Fort Erie | Jeffrey Alderson | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-08-24 | Fort Erie | Jeffrey Alderson | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-07-28 | Fort Erie | Jeffrey Alderson | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-07-05 | Woodbine | David Moran | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 6-8 · tight 77/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▬
Strength9%
Delivery trend +1.0% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07/2025 | 12th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 07/06/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 30% | -0.07 |
| 05/07/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 28/07/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 83% | +0.25 |
| 24/08/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 71% | -0.14 |
| 14/09/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 09/10/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 19/10/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 60% | -0.11 |