5
Waheela
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 5 · OR 73
Woodbine · Race 5 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | Woodbine | Leo Salles | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-09-19 | Woodbine | Fraser Aebly | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-28 | Woodbine | Fraser Aebly | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Woodbine | Fraser Aebly | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | Woodbine | Fraser Aebly | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Woodbine | Fraser Aebly | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 45/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▬
Strength58%
Delivery trend +1.1% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 28/11/2025 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 80% | -0.04 |
| 31/05/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 14/06/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 20% | -0.62 |
| 20/07/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 40% | -0.23 |
| 07/08/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 88% | +0.51 |
| 28/08/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 30% | -0.07 |
| 19/09/2026 | 4th | 13/8 | 91% | 40% | -0.51 |
| 09/10/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 75% | +0.22 |