6
You're So Lucky
4yo Gelding · 8-9 · Draw 6 · OR 72
Woodbine · Race 5 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | Woodbine | Prayven Badrie | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Woodbine | Prayven Badrie | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Woodbine | Prayven Badrie | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Woodbine | Emma Jayne Wilson | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Woodbine | Prayven Badrie | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Woodbine | Desean Bynoe | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 45/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength62%
Delivery trend +0.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/12/2024 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 18/05/2025 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 27/07/2025 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 43% | -0.18 |
| 03/05/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 24/05/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 40% | -0.07 |
| 14/06/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 60% | -0.26 |
| 06/07/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 24/07/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 17% | +0.01 |
| 09/10/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |