2

Accelerando

4yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 2 · OR 80

Woodbine · Race 6 - Claiming · 1m 110y

#2

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

3%

Place Prob

13%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength53%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 2 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.1 /10 (raw 4.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Gulfstream 13/02/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 77 · 1m Fm 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark13/02/2026 · OR 77 par13/02C7OR 77C9 @ Gulfstream 08/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 74 · 1m110y Fm 124 · below its mark08/03/2026 · OR 74 parC9 @ Gulfstream 05/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 74 · 1m Fm 125 · below its mark05/04/2026 · OR 74 par5/04C9OR 74C7 @ Woodbine 11/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 76 · 1m Fm 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark11/06/2026 · OR 76 parC7 @ Woodbine 06/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 78 · 7f110y Fm 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark06/07/2026 · OR 78 par6/07C7OR 78C8 @ Woodbine 24/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 80 · 7f110y Fm 123 · beat its mark24/07/2026 · OR 80 parC8 @ Woodbine 07/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 78 · 7f110y Fm 125 · below its mark07/08/2026 · OR 78 par7/08C8OR 78C8 @ Woodbine 13/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 81 · 1m110y 121 · below its mark13/09/2026 · OR 81 parC8 @ Woodbine 10/10/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 82 · 1m110y 121 · beat its mark10/10/2026 · OR 82 par10/10C8OR 82projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-10WoodbinePietro Moran?1st1st0
2026-09-13WoodbineRyan Munger?7th7th0
2026-08-07WoodbineRyan Munger?2nd2nd0
2026-07-24WoodbineRyan Munger?1st1st0
2026-07-06WoodbinePietro Moran?1st0th+1
2026-06-11WoodbineEswan Flores?3rd2nd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/0211/067/0810/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 3-7 · tight 59/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength26%

Delivery trend -4.9% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/02/20269th20/10%0%0.00
08/03/20264th12/137%50%+0.13
05/04/20266th20/10%44%+0.44
11/06/20263rd7/491%67%-0.24
06/07/20261st10/1195%100%+0.05
24/07/20261st11/486%100%+0.14
07/08/20262nd2/189%86%-0.04
13/09/20267th7/282%0%-0.82
10/10/20261st9/488%100%+0.12