Chairman Bob
7yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 6 · OR 96
Woodbine · Race 6 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
95%
Place Prob
72%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 3.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Woodbine | Christoff Douglas | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-08-30 | Woodbine | Christoff Douglas | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Woodbine | Christoff Douglas | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-12-07 | Woodbine | Christoff Douglas | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-21 | Woodbine | Austin Adams | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2025-10-24 | Woodbine | Pietro Moran | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.7% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/06/2024 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 71% | +0.00 |
| 23/08/2025 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 33% | -0.19 |
| 06/09/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 04/10/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 21/11/2025 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 07/12/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 83% | +0.02 |
| 11/07/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 30/08/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 20/09/2026 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |