Cornwall
5yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 5 · OR 89
Woodbine · Race 6 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Woodbine | Emma Jayne Wilson | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Woodbine | Rafael Hernandez | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Woodbine | Jose Campos | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Woodbine | Rafael Hernandez | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-28 | Woodbine | Pietro Moran | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2025-10-25 | Woodbine | Leo Salles | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -10.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08/2025 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 01/09/2025 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 75% | +0.17 |
| 27/09/2025 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 25% | -0.41 |
| 25/10/2025 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 25% | +0.09 |
| 28/11/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 75% | +0.01 |
| 31/05/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 83% | -0.05 |
| 04/07/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 40% | -0.07 |
| 09/08/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 71% | -0.11 |
| 05/09/2026 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |