Lasting Silence
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 1 · OR 89
Woodbine · Race 6 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 3.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | Woodbine | Christoff Douglas | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-09-07 | Fort Erie | Juan Crawford | ? | 10th | 6th | +3 |
| 2026-08-10 | Fort Erie | Juan Crawford | ? | 1st | -2th | +3 |
| 2026-07-21 | Fort Erie | Juan Crawford | ? | 1st | -2th | +3 |
| 2026-06-30 | Fort Erie | Juan Crawford | ? | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2025-11-20 | Woodbine | Pietro Moran | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -5.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08/2025 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 14/09/2025 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 17% | -0.52 |
| 24/10/2025 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 20/11/2025 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 43% | -0.26 |
| 30/06/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 21/07/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 10/08/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 07/09/2026 | 10th | 13/8 | 91% | 0% | -0.91 |
| 11/10/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 86% | +0.07 |