Prime Edge
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 4 · OR 87
Woodbine · Race 7 - Maiden Optional Claiming · 7f
#1
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
35%
Place Prob
32%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | Woodbine | Rafael Hernandez | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-03-19 | Turfway Park | Gerardo Corrales | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-02-19 | Turfway Park | Gerardo Corrales | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2025-10-26 | Woodbine | Fraser Aebly | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2024-11-15 | Woodbine | Eswan Flores | ? | 10th | 9th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/11/2024 | 10th | 15/2 | 61% | 10% | -0.51 |
| 26/10/2025 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 83% | +0.01 |
| 19/02/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 71% | +0.35 |
| 19/03/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 57% | -0.25 |
| 03/05/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 43% | -0.41 |