Runaway Rocket
4yo Colt · 8-12 · Draw 6 · OR 62
Woodbine · Race 7 - Maiden Optional Claiming · 7f
#6
Rank
Odds
9/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 5.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-01 | Gulfstream | Junior Alvarado | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-01-30 | Tampa Bay Downs | Daniel Centeno | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -46.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/01/2026 | 4th | 15/8 | 90% | 63% | -0.28 |
| 01/03/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |