4
Alley Oop Johnny
9yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 4 · OR 76
Woodbine · Race 8 - Claiming · 7f
#8
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | Woodbine | Rafael Hernandez | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-09-26 | Woodbine | David Moran | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-23 | Woodbine | Pietro Moran | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | Woodbine | Romero Maragh | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Woodbine | Sahin Civaci | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Woodbine | Romero Maragh | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 5-9 · tight 67/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -5.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/03/2026 | 8th | 7/2 | 82% | 13% | -0.69 |
| 11/04/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 86% | +0.15 |
| 23/05/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 12/06/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 18/07/2026 | 5th | 10/11 | 95% | 20% | -0.75 |
| 31/07/2026 | 2nd | 4/9 | 98% | 75% | -0.23 |
| 23/08/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 26/09/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |
| 11/10/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |