Armino
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 9 · OR 80
Woodbine · Race 8 - Claiming · 7f
#5
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 4.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-20 | Fort Erie | Jeffrey Alderson | ? | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-09-26 | Woodbine | Jeffrey Alderson | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-09-04 | Woodbine | Eswan Flores | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-28 | Woodbine | Jeffrey Alderson | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-07-31 | Woodbine | Jeffrey Alderson | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Woodbine | Jeffrey Alderson | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/12/2025 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 17/05/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 20% | -0.27 |
| 12/06/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 26/06/2026 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 31/07/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 28/08/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 04/09/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 26/09/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |
| 20/10/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |