7
Crucial Taunt
4yo Colt · 8-9 · Draw 7 · OR 83
Woodbine · Race 8 - Claiming · 7f
#4
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Woodbine | Juan Crawford | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-08-28 | Woodbine | Juan Crawford | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Woodbine | Juan Crawford | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Woodbine | Keveh Nicholls | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Woodbine | Slade Jones | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Woodbine | Pietro Moran | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 1-9 · tight 30/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength48%
Delivery trend -0.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11/2025 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 58% | -0.13 |
| 13/12/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 86% | +0.38 |
| 08/05/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 14% | -0.65 |
| 12/06/2026 | 7th | 3/1 | 84% | 0% | -0.84 |
| 09/07/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 24/07/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 33% | -0.38 |
| 14/08/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 28/08/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 06/09/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |