2
Military Force
8yo Gelding · 8-9 · Draw 2 · OR 87
Woodbine · Race 8 - Claiming · 7f
#1
Rank
Odds
15/2
Win Prob
57%
Place Prob
51%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-10 | Woodbine | Christoff Douglas | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-09-18 | Woodbine | Jeffrey Alderson | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-23 | Woodbine | Jeffrey Alderson | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-12-07 | Woodbine | Eswan Flores | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-14 | Woodbine | Eswan Flores | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-11-01 | Woodbine | Eswan Flores | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 2-7 · tight 60/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength56%
Delivery trend +1.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09/2025 | 6th | 2/1 | 89% | 17% | -0.73 |
| 03/10/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 17/10/2025 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 01/11/2025 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 83% | +0.01 |
| 14/11/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 07/12/2025 | 3rd | 11/10 | 94% | 67% | -0.28 |
| 23/08/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 40% | -0.07 |
| 18/09/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 57% | -0.14 |
| 10/10/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |