10
Ninja Star
5yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 10 · OR 89
Woodbine · Race 8 - Claiming · 7f
#9
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 7 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-17 | Woodbine | Jose Campos | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-09-25 | Woodbine | Jose Campos | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-09-05 | Woodbine | Jose Campos | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-02 | Woodbine | Christoff Douglas | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-07-18 | Woodbine | Jose Campos | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Woodbine | Jose Campos | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 52/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength68%
Delivery trend +2.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/02/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 27/02/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 57% | -0.11 |
| 29/03/2026 | 10th | 2/1 | 89% | 10% | -0.79 |
| 13/06/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 20% | -0.54 |
| 18/07/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 60% | +0.07 |
| 02/08/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |
| 05/09/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 33% | -0.27 |
| 25/09/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 64% | +0.37 |
| 17/10/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 38% | -0.31 |