3

Sunrise Drive

8yo Gelding · 8-13 · Draw 3 · OR 88

Woodbine · Race 8 - Claiming · 7f

#2

Rank

Odds

11/2

Win Prob

42%

Place Prob

44%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength47%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 4.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Woodbine 30/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 95 · 1m110y Fas 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark30/10/2025 · OR 95 par30/10C7OR 95C8 @ Woodbine 21/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 93 · 1m110y Fas 123 · beat its mark21/11/2025 · OR 93 parC7 @ Woodbine 07/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 89 · 1m1f Fas 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark07/12/2025 · OR 89 par7/12C7OR 89C7 @ Woodbine 23/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 91 · 1m110y Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark23/05/2026 · OR 91 parC7 @ Woodbine 21/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 95 · 1m110y 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark21/06/2026 · OR 95 par21/06C7OR 95C8 @ Woodbine 07/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 95 · 7f 121 · below its mark07/08/2026 · OR 95 parC7 @ Woodbine 28/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 93 · 1m110y Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark28/08/2026 · OR 93 par28/08C7OR 93C8 @ Woodbine 18/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 89 · 7f Fas 123 · beat its mark18/09/2026 · OR 89 parC8 @ Woodbine 17/10/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 92 · 1m110y 121 · below its mark17/10/2026 · OR 92 par17/10C8OR 92projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-17WoodbineEswan Flores?8th8th0
2026-09-18WoodbineEswan Flores?1st1st0
2026-08-28WoodbinePietro Moran?4th3rd+1
2026-08-07WoodbinePietro Moran?2nd2nd0
2026-06-21WoodbinePietro Moran?3rd2nd+1
2026-05-23WoodbinePietro Moran?2nd1st+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/1023/0528/0817/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 60/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▼
Strength69%

Delivery trend -2.6% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/10/20256th9/153%29%-0.24
21/11/20251st9/488%100%+0.12
07/12/20251st12/137%100%+0.63
23/05/20262nd8/158%86%+0.28
21/06/20263rd11/486%67%-0.19
07/08/20262nd10/382%80%-0.02
28/08/20264th15/261%63%+0.02
18/09/20261st9/488%100%+0.12
17/10/20268th12/137%13%-0.24