
Sunrise Drive
8yo Gelding · 8-13 · Draw 3 · OR 88
Woodbine · Race 8 - Claiming · 7f
#2
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
42%
Place Prob
44%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 4.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-17 | Woodbine | Eswan Flores | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-09-18 | Woodbine | Eswan Flores | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-28 | Woodbine | Pietro Moran | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-08-07 | Woodbine | Pietro Moran | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Woodbine | Pietro Moran | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-05-23 | Woodbine | Pietro Moran | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.6% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10/2025 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 29% | -0.24 |
| 21/11/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 07/12/2025 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 23/05/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 86% | +0.28 |
| 21/06/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 67% | -0.19 |
| 07/08/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 28/08/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 63% | +0.02 |
| 18/09/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 17/10/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 13% | -0.24 |