8
Volcanic
7yo Gelding · 8-13 · Draw 8 · OR 85
Woodbine · Race 8 - Claiming · 7f
#7
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength35%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 7 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-17 | Woodbine | Fraser Aebly | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-09-11 | Woodbine | Fraser Aebly | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Woodbine | Romero Maragh | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | Woodbine | Fraser Aebly | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-29 | Woodbine | Ryan Munger | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-07 | Woodbine | Slade Jones | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 2-9 · tight 43/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength39%
Delivery trend +0.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/11/2024 | 4th | 13/8 | 91% | 57% | -0.34 |
| 06/12/2024 | 8th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |
| 04/10/2025 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 43% | -0.10 |
| 07/11/2025 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 13% | -0.14 |
| 29/11/2025 | 5th | 2/1 | 89% | 33% | -0.56 |
| 20/07/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 88% | +0.09 |
| 09/08/2026 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 14% | -0.62 |
| 11/09/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 17/10/2026 | 9th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |