1
Back Street Driver
3yo Gelding · 8-7 · Draw 1 · OR 68
Woodbine · Race 9 - Maiden Claiming · 6f 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
11%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | Woodbine | Christoff Douglas | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-09-25 | Woodbine | Xarel Forde | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-28 | Woodbine | Christoff Douglas | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Woodbine | Ryan Munger | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | Woodbine | Ryan Munger | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Woodbine | Xarel Forde | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1190% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 70/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +8.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |
| 19/06/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 57% | +0.10 |
| 20/07/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 38% | +0.11 |
| 09/08/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 28/08/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 25/09/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 09/10/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 75% | +0.59 |