12
Friendly
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 12 · OR 64
Woodbine · Race 9 - Maiden Claiming · 6f 110y
#9
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | Woodbine | Dane Nelson | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Woodbine | Jose Campos | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-10 | Woodbine | Luis Reyes | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Woodbine | Luis Reyes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-10-26 | Woodbine | Pietro Moran | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-11 | Woodbine | Pietro Moran | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1140% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 53/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength76%
Delivery trend +6.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 75% | -0.09 |
| 11/10/2025 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 40% | -0.23 |
| 26/10/2025 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 25/04/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 10/05/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 31/05/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 57% | +0.31 |
| 16/10/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 71% | +0.03 |