Gran Ghost
3yo Gelding · 8-7 · Draw 3 · OR 66
Woodbine · Race 9 - Maiden Claiming · 6f 110y
#10
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 5.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | Woodbine | Da Sean Gaskin | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-10-09 | Woodbine | Rafael Hernandez | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-09-18 | Woodbine | Da Sean Gaskin | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-28 | Woodbine | Da Sean Gaskin | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-02 | Woodbine | Luis Contreras | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-07-06 | Woodbine | Jeffrey Alderson | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -10.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07/2025 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 43% | -0.15 |
| 31/05/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 06/07/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 02/08/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 28/08/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 89% | +0.52 |
| 18/09/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 09/10/2026 | 6th | 9/4 | 88% | 38% | -0.51 |
| 16/10/2026 | 8th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |