13:40 · Nottingham

Weatherbys Digital Solutions Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race)

1m 75yGoing TBCClass 43YO plusTURF6 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
Top Pick1
11/1
Aura Champagne silks

Georginio Rutter & Jinky Farms

3yo Filly · 9-2

Dark Angel - Aperitif (Pivotal)

S M Levey70%0/2R Hannon60%
33
7.0Going 8.0Class ↓2

110,000 gns Dark Angel filly. Close third behind a now-useful sort at Newbury (7f) last September. Wasn't given hard time behind a couple of useful prospects on return there (1¼m) last month. Better to come over a trip more in keeping with her pedigree, and she could make it third time lucky.

Class Advantage

19/09 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a19/0918/07 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a18/07projClass-projected finish: 1st of 4
Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move2
Strength66%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 75y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 3 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 67%19/09Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 50%18/07
Projected finish1st of 6
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength46%
ExpectedActualTrend
2
3
OR 743/1
Moonlit Surf silks

Mr P Winkworth

3yo Filly · 9-2

Oasis Dream - Surfseeker (Golden Horn)

Callum Rodriguez60%0/3Owen Burrows60%
66542
6.0Class ↓2
1st Hood +1

Progressive filly. Fourth in a solid-looking contest on handicap bow before doing well to finish ½-length second in muddling C&D novice last time. Obvious claims if first-time hood has the desired effect, for all this could again be slowly run.

Class Advantage

15/10 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a15/1018/05 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a29/05 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a13/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above13/06 · mark par18/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above18/07 · mark par18/07projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 4
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength64%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 75y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 6 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 38%15/10Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 44%18/05Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 20%29/05Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 70%13/06Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 75%18/07
Projected finish2nd of 6
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
5
Market Fav2
OR 776/4
Quisana silks

Mrs A G Kavanagh

3yo Filly · 9-2

Ghaiyyath - Quipara (Soldier Hollow)

Charles Bishop60%0/4Eve Johnson Houghton60%
4252
6.0Class ↓2
Hood

Fair filly who has run to a similar level all 4 starts. Made the odds-on favourite pull out all the stops in 3-runner Chepstow maiden (1m) latest. Could be vulnerable to a more progressive one here.

Class Advantage

18/05 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a18/0529/05 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a29/0514/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a14/0616/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above16/07 · mark par16/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 4
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength47%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 75y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 67%18/05Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 80%29/05Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 64%14/06Pos 2 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 2 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 50%16/07
Projected finish3rd of 6
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength8%
ExpectedActualTrend
6
5
9/4
Yimmna silks

The Thoroughbred Racing Corporation Lt

3yo Filly · 9-2

Siyouni - Right Hand (Lope De Vega)

Tom Marquand70%0/2W J Haggas
72
5.0

€650,000 Siyouni filly. Hard to know what she achieved when no match for a now-useful one in 3-runner Newmarket novice (1m) second time up. Should do better at some point and interesting to see if connections make more use of her (plenty of stamina on dam's side).

Class Advantage

10/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a10/0626/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a26/06projClass-projected finish: 4th of 4
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 75y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 40%10/06Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 50%26/06
Projected finish4th of 6
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength51%
ExpectedActualTrend
3
4
Moontune silks

Mr Ron Watts

3yo Filly · 9-2

Space Blues - Pennywhistle (Iffraaj)

Marco Ghiani60%S C Williams80%
No form3.0Going 8.0

Space Blues filly. Half-sister to 7f-9f winner Spielman. Dam, 2-y-o 7f winner, half-sister to high-class 6f-1½m winner Romantic Warrior. Trainer/jockey were successful with a big-priced newcomer last month, but the percentage call is to look elsewhere.

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

Projected finish5th of 6
NO HISTORYfirst run / unraced
Trend
Strength0%
4
6
50/1
My Prerogative silks

Spencer-herbert, Herbert & McPherson

3yo Filly · 9-2

Ardad - Deciding Vote (Pivotal)

Oliver Stammers60%D Killahena & G McPherson
8
2.0Going 8.0

Has an ordinary pedigree and offered little on debut for Ed Walker at Kempton (6f) last September. Hard to be confident of better returning over a longer trip for new connections.

Class Advantage

24/09 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a24/09
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 75y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 22%24/09
Projected finish6th of 6
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength11%
ExpectedActualTrend